The General Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF),
Christine Lagarde, on Thursday told an international conference in
Maputo that "Africa's achievements are remarkable, and the overall
outlook for the continent is optimistic".
The conference, entitled "Africa Rising: Building to the Future", has
been organised by the Mozambican government and the IMF, and is
attended by finance ministers and governors of central banks from across
the continent.
In her opening speech, Lagarde declared that Mozambique "epitomises
this positive spirit", with its average growth rate of 7.4 per cent a
year sustained over two decades, one of the fastest growth rates in
sub-Saharan Africa.
"Many steps have been taken to reduce poverty and increase life
expectancy", she said. "These are the fruits of years of
institution-building and sound economic management". She believed that
the recent discoveries of enormous natural gas and coal deposits in
Mozambique "offer a unique opportunity to further build on these gains
and make growth more inclusive".
She pledged that the IMF would stand beside Mozambique. "We have been
working together providing both financial support and policy advice",
she said. "We have also supported Mozambique's reform agenda with
stepped up technical assistance and capacity building efforts".
Lagarde admitted that some IMF approaches in the past had been
misguided. In what is the nearest thing to an apology the IMF is likely
to make, she said the fund had "moved away from the legendary Structural
Adjustment Programmes", which she described as "laundry lists of what
had to be done".
"We have listened, we have learned and we have responded", she said.
"We have reformed our lending instruments to increase access and
flexibility for countries in need; extended our zero interest policy;
and streamlined conditionality".
Lagarde claimed the IMF has "tailored our policy advice to better address the very specific challenges facing the region".
Despite the strong growth in sub-Saharan Africa, "poverty remains
stuck at unacceptably high levels", she admitted. "If the global crisis
has taught us anything, it is the importance of making the benefits of
growth more broadly shared. When everyone benefits, growth is more
durable".
Africa's mineral resources, if properly managed, "offer unparalleled
opportunities for economic growth and development", Lagarde said - but
"in too many countries, rents from extractive industries are captured by
just a few".
She pointed out that mining "can account for an important share in
output and export earnings, but often contributes relatively little to
budget revenues and job creation. This corrodes the fabric of the
economy and its social cohesion".
Lagarde called for "strengthening the institutional and governance
frameworks that manage these resources", adding that "transparency can
help increase accountability - and help that these resources are
harnessed for the benefit of all".
She warned that Africa, as "the youngest continent in the world",
faces an enormous demographic challenge. By 2040, Africa will have the
largest labour force in the world - a billion people of working age,
more than China and India combined.
"Channelling this increasing reservoir of human capital to productive
sectors offers unrivalled economic and social opportunities", Lagarde
said. "To take full advantage of them will require skilful management
and vision".
Some estimates, she continued, are that a one per cent increase in
the population of working age can boost gross domestic product by 0.5
percentage points. But to achieve this, decent jobs need to be created
in the productive, formal sector of the economy.
Lagarde noted that currently only one in five people in Africa have formal sector jobs.
"This must change", since the informal sector is a recipe for "low incomes, low prospects and low productivity".
She was convinced that more Africans can be employed in formal sector
jobs, if there is "wider access to quality education, health care and
infrastructure services". Particularly key was ensuring that girls have
full access to education - Lagarde said that, on some estimates, the
gender gap in education causes development countries losses of 90
billion dollars a year.
Lagarde argued that it is also crucial to close Africa's
"infrastructure gap". She noted that "over the past three decades, per
capita output of electricity in sub-Saharan Africa remained virtually
flat. Only 16 per cent of all roads are paved, compared with 58 per cent
in south Asia. These shortfalls represent huge costs to businesses -
and to people".
Despite the "daunting costs" of closing the infrastructure gap, she
argued that it had to be done, since "high quality infrastructure can be
a magnet for foreign investment. It can accelerate diversification and
job creation, and support further regional integration".
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