Budget constraints in Washington and obstinacy at the highest levels
of the African Union (AU) have combined to dangerously delay a possible
U.N. peacekeeping mission in the Central African Republic (CAR),
according to sources close to negotiations currently underway in New
York.
U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon was set to deliver his report on CAR to the Security Council this past Friday.
But the document, believed to contain a damning portrayal of ethnic
cleansing and atrocities as well as a recommendation for an official
mission, was held up at the last moment and delayed to this week,
raising fears that its language could be toned down to accommodate the
reservations of the U.S., AU and others.
Whatever the immediate outcome, the struggle illustrates an evolving
and at times tense relationship between the Security Council, a more
assertive AU and the U.N. over interventions on the continent.
"The reality is that a U.N. mission is absolutely essential to
stabilising CAR, and the secretary-general's reporting is spot-on as to
the desperate situation on the ground," said a high-ranking human rights
officer in Bangui who spoke with IPS on the condition of anonymity.
But there is hope that this time Ban will not wilt in the face of pressure.
In December, with violence ratcheting up, the Security Council, after
initially considering a French proposal for a full mission, chose
instead to mandate and enlarge the existing AU mission in the country -
thereafter called MISCA - and authorise the deployment of French
"Sangari" troops, currently numbering 2,000.
The move saved hundreds of millions of dollars in the short term, but has proved a stop-gap measure.
Underpinning the tension between the AU and the U.N. is a push by the
Africans and international partners to encouraged "African solutions to
African Problems," in this case, letting MISCA handle its mandate
without calling in the U.N.
"We agree with the principal of African solutions to African
problems, but it should not come at the expense of African lives," said
Philippe Bolopion, U.N. director of Human Rights Watch.
CAR "is not the time or the place for the AU to make a point,"
Bolopion told IPS. "It's pretty clear that the AU-French combination on
the ground is not enough to protect civilians. A huge chunk of the
Muslim population has had to flee under their watch."
In April, 700 EU troops are set to spell French troops stationed the
Bangui airport, allowing the Sangaris to travel out into more rural
areas where the peacekeeping presence is thin and small bands of lightly
armed Christian anti-balaka militias can wipe out entire villages.
In an interview with African Arguments, Amnesty International's
senior investigator Donatella Rovera said neither the French nor AU
forces, by now numbering 6,000, have been effective.
"The military efforts belonged to the AU and French and they have had
huge coordination problems," said Rovera. "They weren't present where
things were happening, when they could have made a difference, when they
could have stopped some of the massacres. They did not seem to be very
willing to confront the new actor."
The small U.N. political mission already in place, BINUCA, is grossly
underfunded and ineffective at fulfilling its basic mandate. At the
time of the December vote, observers expressed concern to IPS that
without a bona fide, well-funded intervention, though violence might be
temporarily snuffed out, the inequities and development shortfalls that
led to the crisis would kicked down the road.
At the time, logistical concerns were also raised: where would an
already overextended Department for Peacekeeping Operations (DPKO) raise
troops?
Money was an issue as well: in the U.S., which funds over one-quarter
of peacekeeping operations, Congress would soon set a 2014 budget that
left a 12-percent funding gap in their dues and allocates exactly zero
to a recently announced mission in Mali. How could they afford another
venture in CAR?
Yet later that month, the Security Council saw fit to increase the
number of peacekeepers in an already in-place mission in South Sudan.
Many wondered if CAR was being shortchanged.
U.S. ambassador to the U.N. Samantha Power, who has publicly pleaded
the case of CAR before the Council, was put in an awkward position by
budget considerations. In a workaround, the U.S. provided 100 million
dollars of direct assistance to a trust fund set up for MISCA, thereby
making themselves investors in their success alone.
But MISCA is in many ways a poster child for AU stubbornness.
"It is important to remember that the MISCA mission has been around
in various forms since 1996, so this is a country where many of the
officers have been posted often. Many even learned [the local language]
Sango," said the human rights official in Bangui.
"The AU itself is very much opposed to a U.N. mission because they
want to claim success in CAR and want to keep the MISCA mission, which
suits the U.S. as well," said the official. "The AU has long
misrepresented the reality on the ground."
In December, the AU's envoy to the U.N., Smaïl Chergui, brushed aside
accusations that Chadian MISCA troops had repeatedly attacked civilians
in CAR. But last week, Chadian troops were again charged by locals with
killing three civilians in a Christian neighborhood of Bangui.
At a Jan. 14 meeting of the AU's Defence Committee, Chergui told
gathered ministers in Addis Ababa "we are hopeful that we will soon
significantly improve the security situation and prove the prophets of
doom wrong."
Yet in February, the U.N.'s refugee agency and the human rights group
Amnesty International identified rampant ethnic cleansing against the
country's Muslim minority.
After an initial bout of violence committed by predominantly Muslim
Seleka rebels left a thousand dead in December, the French Sangaris set
about disarming and arrested the group, who had held power in Bangui
since taking the city in March.
At the time, observers, including U.N. human rights chief Navi
Pillay, expressed concern over the potential for revenge killings
against Muslims in areas vacated by the Seleka. Those fears proved
disastrously correct and peacekeepers proved no match for containing
disparate but potent attacks by Christian anti-balaka militias.
In Bangui, where upwards of 150,000 Muslims lived prior to the
conflict, by some accounts fewer than 10,000 remain. Palm fronds hanging
outside houses in formerly diverse neighbourhoods indicate where
Christian families have seized a home deserted by their former
neighbours, either murdered or attempted to flee, likely to Cameroon or
Chad.
At least 100,000 Muslims have left the country entirely and countless displaced persons have fled to the bush.
In December, members of the Security Council explained their
piecemeal solution to the violence in CAR by pointing to the six-month
time frame for implementing a full U.N. mission. But three months later
the same reasons are given for dampening hopes of a mission now.
Though the French have publicly spoken in favour of an official
mission, they remain in delicate negotiations with regional power-broker
Chad over existing missions in Mali and their basing rights in the
country.
And they, like the AU, have reason to want the current mission to be
seen as a success. President Francoise Hollande, who visited Bangui
Friday, wants to impress a sceptical populace after he made
interventions in former colonies a cornerstone of his foreign policy.
Earlier this month, out of sight of peacekeepers, 70 Muslims were
killed over the course of two days in the southwest town of Guen, made
to lie down on the ground then shot one by one.
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